Destined for War

Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?

Destined for War

A NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK OF THE YEAR | SHORT-LISTED FOR THE 2018 LIONEL GELBER PRIZE | NAMED A BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR BY: FINANCIAL TIMES * THE TIMES (LONDON) * AMAZON “Allison is one of the keenest observers of international affairs around.”— JOE BIDEN, former vice president of the United States China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap: when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, violence is the likeliest result. Over the past five hundred years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times; war broke out in twelve. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries “great again,” the seventeenth case looks grim. A trade conflict, cyberattack, Korean crisis, or accident at sea could easily spark a major war. In Destined for War, eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison masterfully blends history and current events to explain the timeless machinery of Thucydides’s Trap—and to explore the painful steps that might prevent disaster today. “[A] must-read book in both Washington and Beijing.”— NIALL FERGUSON, BOSTON GLOBE “[Allison is] a first-class academic with the instincts of a first-rate politician.”— BLOOMBERG NEWS “[Full of] wide-ranging, erudite case studies that span human history . . . [A] fine book.”— NEW YORK TIMES BOOK REVIEW

Destined for War

Can America and China Escape Thucydide's Trap?

Destined for War

Will the twenty-first century be defined by the inevitability of conflict between China and the USA?When Athens went to war with Sparta some 2,500 years ago, the Greek historian Thucydides identified one simple cause- a rising power threatened to displace a ruling one, leading inexorably to conflict. As Graham Allison explains, in the past 500 years, great powers have found themselves in 'Thucydides's Trap' sixteen times. In twelve of the sixteen - from war between the French and the Hapsburgs in the sixteenth century to the two world wars of the twentieth - the results have been catastrophic. Today, the same structural forces propel China and the United States toward a cataclysm of unseen proportions, even as both sides insist that such a war could never occur. In Destined for War, Allison compares the U.S.-China conflict to its closest parallel- World War I. There, a rising Germany threatened the supremacy of the British Empire. He sketches several scenarios in which America and China might slide, against their intent and better judgment, into a similar conflict. But he also examines the rare instances when two clashing powers have avoided disaster, and speculates about whether the current standoff could be one of those exceptions.

Thucydides on Choice and Decision Making

Why War Is Not Inevitable

Thucydides on Choice and Decision Making

This book uncovers Thucydides’ decision making schemata and his thinking on how people decide, particularly when in power or war. Based on these ideas, the author interprets the outbreak of the Peloponnesian war and the Sicilian expedition, and shows that they were a result of decision making and, thus, not inevitable.

Destined for Failure

American Prosperity in the Age of Bailouts

Destined for Failure

Looks at the American business cycle and the challenges of conventional Keynesian economics on the modern Unites States economy.

Destined for Destiny

The Unauthorized Autobiography of George W. Bush

Destined for Destiny

In Destined for Destiny, George W. Bush offers readers an intimate, plainspoken, and often readable look at the character-shaping achievements that led to his inevitable rise to the office of President of the United States. Written from the heart, not from the brain, this definitive autobiography takes readers on a journey through the 43rd President's life, including his hardscrabble beginnings as the child of West Texas oil millionaires, the remarkable academic performance that earned him entry into the finest East Coast schools, and his proud service to the country as an occasional member of the National Guard sometime around 1972 or 1973. He proudly recounts his years as a successful oil-business failure and the owner of a baseball team. He even dares to dream the ultimate dream: to become Commissioner of Baseball. The great man we meet here displays his mother's steely resolve and vindictive temper, his father's keen mastery of language, and his own unique gift of deciding. His gripping life story deepens when a faith in God hits him one day "like a bottle of Jack on an empty stomach," and he has an encounter with the Prince of Peace that sets George W. Bush on a path to become the greatest War President in history. To help craft this lasting account of his life and leadership, George W. Bush turned to two writers who have earned not only his trust but his deep friendship: Scott Dikkers, editor-in-chief of The Onion and coauthor of the #1 bestseller Our Dumb Century, and Peter Hilleren, former producer for public radio and some of the nation's finest public-access cable-television stations. Dikkers and Hilleren call on their finely honed journalism expertise every week to write and record the President's weekly radio address on WeeklyRadioAddress.com. Their work on such stirring addresses as "June Terror Update" and "The Pope Is Dead" made them the ideal choice to meet the challenge of chronicling the visionary mark left on history by its shining light, President George W. Bush. * * * Free from all the filters, handlers, and facts . . . I tell the untold story of my inspirational life. You will struggle with me in my strugglesome youth. During the Vietnam War, you will be right there at my side as I face down the terrible enemy of my sinful partying. Together, we will meet and fall head over heels for the love of my life -- Jesus. And through me you will become a beloved, terror-fighting hero in the greatest hour of my presidency, September 11, 2001. I embarked upon this important and historical work against the advice of my advisors. Come what may, I wanted you to hear my story from me, in my own talking. God bless, George W. Bush

The Uncensored Truth Bible for New Beginnings

The Uncensored Truth Bible for New Beginnings

As the pastor of Central Christian Church in Las Vegas, Jud Wilhite encounters new Christians every single day. One of the greatest needs new believers have is a resource for understanding the Christian faith and the Bible in a straightforward and applicable guide. The Uncensored Truth Bible for New Beginnings fills that need and show an uncompromising commitment to God's Word and the extent of His grace: the radical, amazing, overwhelming favor and forgiveness of God available to all. The New Living Translation is Jud's preferred Bible translation because he believes it is the easiest for new believers to understand. This fastest growing Bible translation is the work of 90 Bible scholars over a seven-year period and is known for accurately communicating the meaning of the original ancient Hebrew and Greek texts in clear and concise language. Jud hopes The Uncensored Truth Bible for New Beginnings will help you apply the gift of God's words to your life along with some thoughts to help you understand it more quickly and deeply. He gives you tools and resources to help navigate the deep waters of this living document. As you dig into God's words, the encouragement and truth you receive will literally change your life and the world! Key Features Include: A 32-page Introduction in which Jud provides 6 helpful articles on how to understand the Bible, overviews of the Old and New Testaments, and faith as a lifelong journey Book Introductions, including the author, key people and verses, themes, and the date it was written for each book of the Bible 9 Major Uncensored Truth Sections, which guide readers to understand the core beliefs of Christianity-God, Jesus Christ, the Holy Spirit, the Word of God, salvation, church, living the Christian life, angels and demons, Jesus' return, and heaven and hell Callout Passages of Scripture that have meant the most to Jud for different reasons in various seasons of life And featuring the reliable and easy-to-read New Living Translation

The Daily Walk Bible NLT

The Daily Walk Bible NLT

Take a walk. Change your world. Reading through the Bible is difficult. The Daily Walk Bible will help you complete the journey. Drawing from the rich resources of Walk Thru the Bible’s Daily Walk magazine, The Daily Walk Bible offers a simple daily reading plan and tools to help you complete the journey and see how the Bible fits together. Each day’s reading includes an overview to give you a bird’s-eye view of the day’s reading, several chapters from the Bible, an Insight offering an interesting fact from the day’s reading, and My Daily Walk—a short devotion to help you reflect on and apply a specific insight from the day’s reading. Every seventh day offers a pause on the journey as you are invited to Look Back over the readings from the previous week, Look Up to God, and Look Ahead to the reading to come. This edition features the clear and understandable New Living Translation.